New forecast for the dollar exchange rate: higher than budget expectations.
Currency market expert Oleg Pendzin predicts that by the end of 2025, the dollar exchange rate may reach 47 hryvnias. Currently, the dollar exchange rate has already crossed the mark of 42 hryvnias. He noted that this figure significantly exceeds those laid down in the state budget. The budget provides for an exchange rate of 45 hryvnias, but according to Pendzin's forecast, this value will be exceeded.
The expert notes that currently the dollar exchange rate in Ukraine is controlled by the National Bank. Under normal conditions, the rate is formed through the interaction of supply and demand from exporters and importers. A stable exchange rate in the currency market requires necessary interventions from the regulator.
As of January 7, the average dollar exchange rate in Ukrainian banks was 42.0 UAH for buying and 42.70 UAH for selling. The cash exchange rate is 42.70 UAH for both operations. The official exchange rate of the National Bank is set at 42.1959 UAH.
Oleg Pendzin had previously predicted the stability of the dollar exchange rate in the short term. Despite heightened expectations of hryvnia devaluation, the dollar exchange rate has remained within a certain corridor. The expert analyzed the factors influencing the currency market and the possible consequences for the Ukrainian economy.
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